The rotation has the biggest question marks, but the signing of Zack Greinke to go along with Brady Singer, Brad Keller and Carlos Hernandez should be able to give the team quality innings. There wasn't a better trio of starting pitchers in baseball last year than those onthe Brewers. This doesn't necessarily mean they'll win the World Series and a surprisingly disappointing season is always possible. Tip from Dean E. Smith Center is at 6:30 p.m. The Duke Blue Devils (22-8, 13-6 ACC) finish the season against the North Carolina Tar Heels (19-11, 11-8) Saturday in Chapel Hill. PECOTA has the Halos four games ahead of the Mariners and gives them a 54.9% chance of reaching the postseason, the seventh-highest odds in the AL. The AL East is the best division in baseball, and it doesn't take a model to know that. Everyone should. MLB Baseball Standings Projections on TeamRankings.com. Because of a below-average lineup, on its best days, the Marlins exciting rotation will be wasted. Corey Kluber is 36. I don't buy the Padres or Giants as 90-plus win teams, either. Top 2023 Gotham Stakes predictions One shocker: Demling is high on Lugan Knight, who is tied for third in the odds, at 6-1. The rotation is still thin and the bullpen is a mess, so they will fall short of being swept in the 2022 MLB postseason. Pitching depth will be crucial because of the compressed training period before the regular season starts. Ultimately, this is a total rebuild and the organization isnt thinking about the final MLB standings in 2022. Major League Leaders . Projection rollouts have become a time-honored tradition in the lead up to every baseball season, and FanGraphs writer Dan Szymborskis ZiPS and Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA are two of the most trusted projection systems around. But this will be a season for fans to count on young talent gaining experience to help the next reloaded Oakland team. The Rockieswere surprisingly the top suitor for Kris Bryant, signing him to a seven-year, $182 million contract Has a team ever lost 110 games as quietly as the Diamondbacks last year? The Detroit Tigers farm system leads us to believe they are a future World Series contender, but the big leap isnt coming until 2023. The NL Central hasnt had a repeat champion since the Cubs in 2016-17, and PECOTA expects that trend to continue in 2023, giving the Brewers a two-game edge over the Cardinals. The model likes the Dodgers to win the pennant and finish with the best record in baseball, while the Giants are the second-most likely team to win the pennant, barely edging out the Braves, who are likely to earn the second bye by virtue of winning their division with the second-best record among division winners. As part of our year-round MLB coverage, we'll provide analysis, the latest news and MLB trade rumors . The reason for the model's lack of trust in them in 2022? This should be very difficult, as every team -- at least in theory -- should have a total right around where it is expected to finish. The breakout season by the Giants mixed up the run of Dodgers' dominance, but the model expects Los Angeles to reclaim its crown in 2022. Needless to say, our MLB predictions arent quite as high on the Boston Red Sox. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. The Sporting News' model sees the Blue Jays as a slim favorite to win the division over the Yankees, Rays and Red Sox, but it expects all four teams to reach the playoffs. ET (ESPN). Some major changes await the 2022 MLB season. Now, did that stop us from asking a number of MLB . The one thing missing is another quality outfielder to fill out the lineup. Welcome to our NHL projections and probabilities page where you will find each team's projected . ZiPS has it as a much closer race, projecting the Yankees for 89 wins and the Blue Jays for 88. This team is largely the same one that went on a 17-game winning streak at the end of the season to blaze past the Reds, Phillies and Padres to capture the second wild-card and sneak into the playoffs. After the NL East race came down to the wire in 2022, with the Braves edging the Mets via tiebreaker after both won 101 games, the two teams had drastically different offseasons. Bookmark this page for in-season updates to our MLB predictions. Read more . If the snake-bitten franchise gets full seasons from Anthony Rendon, Mike Trout, Shohei Ohtani and Noah Syndergaard, its a no-doubt playoff team. Victor Robles still flashes big potential, but has yet to make everything click. Milwaukee had a relatively quiet offseason after finishing seven games behind St. Louis last season, but PECOTA projects the teams vaunted pitching staff to allow 41 fewer runs than that of St. Louis. Hes going to be one of the best players in MLB before long and some even think hell get MVP votes in 2022. Losing Kevin Gausman (Toronto Blue Jays and Buster Posey (retirement) are two huge blows, leaving voids that cant be filled directly. Customized picks for NFL and college football pickem contests (weekly and season long). With the new campaign comes the intrigue over how it will turn out. November 17, 2021 Mitch Hill MLB. The predicted standings for each team are the average wins and losses in the 20,000 simulations. The Rockies don't figure to be in the mix for the playoffs in 2022, but that lineup could be fun to watch. If Jack Flaherty is unavailable for a majority of the season, though, that significantly changes the Cardinals outcome. Cody Bellinger returns to All-Star form. They added Cy Young winner Robbie Ray and 2021 All-Stars in Adam Frazier and Jesse Winker Nobody really knows what to make of theAngels. Patrick Wisdom and Frank Schwindel each had solid debut seasons in 2021, and return as established starters with Ian Happ and Willson Contreras. Fun fact: He finished the 2016, 2018, 2019 and 2021 seasons with a combined batting average in the .290s, so maybe it wasn't surprising that he finished his first MLB season 91 games for the . Ryan Fagan ( @RyanFagan ) The model indicates that in a World Series against the NL, which is loaded with teams that boast top-line pitching staffs, Tampa Bay's staff is more likely to hold up in a series. The versatile Max Muncy will hit anywhere he's playing, and Justin Turner has shown no signs of aging as he heads into his age 36 season. Was Steven Matz's 2021 season a real change or is he more the guy who was well below average from 2017-20? It's Cleveland vs. Minnesota for the AL Central title. Both of these teams will be in the playoffs, everyones preference between the two is understandable. The Blue Jays will, once again, be one of the best fourth-place finishers since MLB went to the six-division format in 1994. Behind the Jays, it could go either way between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays. It might not matter right now, but it will cost them multiple games and potentially a playoff spot. Everyone is just waiting forthe Angelsto finally live up to their potential. The deepest lineup in baseball got deeper when it signed Freddie Freeman to help offset the loss of Seager. It isn't that simple, even if it sounds like it should be. The Phillies Will Need The Long Ball For A Long Shot World Series Comeback . Kyle Tucker will now be seen as one of the offensive leaders, along with slugger Yordan Alvarez. Milwaukee had a relatively quiet offseason after finishing seven games behind St. Louis last season, but PECOTA projects the team's vaunted pitching staff to allow . KC Kansas City Royals. The winter meetings are quickly approaching and before you know it will be time for Spring Training. Maybe. The pitching staff is worrisome. The biggest question mark for Los Angeles is undoubtedly in its rotation, where Walker Buehler will be the unquestioned ace after Scherzer left. In this space below, we'll grab some totals picks. With the exception of a 107-win season from the Giants in 2021, the Dodgers have owned the NL West for the past decade. Until those issues are addressed, even a .500 record feels unlikely. With Shane Baz, Yonny Chirinos and Tyler Glasnow out from possible rotation spots in addition to relievers Nick Anderson and Pete Fairbanks, that's a lot of slack that needs picking up. The Orioleshope to see top prospect Adley Rutschman soon (but not too soon) and are going to lose 100 games again but have players worth watching inCedric Mullins andRyan Mountcastle. This year is going to be a bit of a mixed bag forthe Nationals. The Seattle Mariners will win the AL West, just not this year. NEW YORK YANKEES 103-59. 3 - New York Mets. Corbin Burnes won the Cy Young with a sterling 2.43 ERA, and he was joined in the sub-3.00 ERA club by Brandon Woodruff (2.56) and Freddy Peralta (2.81). Even worse, Lance Lynn is now sidelined until June. Witt Jr. could be the future face of MLB and Melendezs bat is convincing Kansas City to give the catching prospect a shot at other positions. The NL West was incredibly loaded in 2021, with the Giants finishing with the best record in baseball and the Dodgers owning the second-best record in baseball. So does former wunderkind Alex Reyes. FIVE BIG QUESTIONS:AL East | AL Central | AL WestNL East | NL Central | NL West. CLE Cleveland Guardians. The rotation might be even better in 2022 with the return of Mike Soroka to join Max Fried, Ian Anderson, Charlie Morton and Huascar Ynoa. Were seeing the Texas Rangers and Oakland Athletics head in opposite directions. Having also crammed these past few weeks, USA TODAY Sports presents its 2022 record predictions, an annual exercise in prognostication attempting to make sense of what went down this offseason and how it fits into team trajectory. Fans of the Yankeesare disappointed that New York wasn't able to land any major name in free agency, but that doesn't stop the model from being bullish on the Bronx Bombers' chances to make the playoffs. If there werent enough concerns, early IL stints for Evan Longoria and Lamonte Wade Jr. heighten worries with the Giants lineup and its diminishing depthj. ET, with the prelims on ESPNews/ESPN+ starting at 8 p.m. Cactus League. RHP Max Scherzer inked a super lucrative three-year deal with the New York Mets, paying him an average salary of $43.3 million. The Mets committed nearly $500 million to free agents this offseason, re-signing Edwin Daz and Brandon Nimmo while also inking Justin Verlander, Kodai Senga and Jos Quintana to replace departed starters deGrom, Chris Bassitt and Taijuan Walker. You can do it! Team: Wins: Losses: Chicago White Sox: 85: 77: But there they are with an 88-74 projection from ZiPS, just three games behind the mighty Dodgers and Padres. The Phillieswere one of several teams competing near the end of the season for a wild card spot before the Cardinals went on their wild winning streak to take away that final spot. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and . Despite signing Trea Turnerin free agency, neither ZiPS nor PECOTA views the Phils as a major threat to win this division. Newcastle United vs Manchester City. The predicted standings for each team are the average wins and losses in the 20,000 simulations. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Related: 2022 Boston Red Sox schedule, roster and predictions, Related: MLB trade rumors Latest MLB rumors entering July. The Fernando Tats Jr. injury creates a bigger separation from the Dodgers in the projected MLB standings, but hell be back by July. While Cleveland missed the playoffs last year, they also have finished no lower than third in the AL Central since 2012. Its not a huge surprise that ZiPS projects the Padres and Dodgers for the same record. The results, Marcus Stroman being replaced by Max Scherzer and holes in the lineup being filled by Starling Marte, Mark Canha and Eduardo Escobar. . They'll have thump. Four teams won at least 100 in 2019. They'll hover around .500 without the season-altering winning streak this time around. The Cleveland Cavaliers (39-26, 26-7 home) return to Ohio on Saturday for an Eastern Conference affair with the lowly Detroit Pistons (15-48, 7-25 away) who are in the gutter of the conference standings. MORE:Reds, As top list of five MLB fan bases experiencing post-lockout blues. Mookie Betts felt quiet in 2021, but he's still one of baseball's best at the dish. With Seattle, Los Angeles, and Texas each loading up on talent this offseason, will the Carlos Correa-less Astros . The model does not expect the Brewers will emerge back on top in 2022. They've lost key names over the past several years from George Springer to Justin Verlander (for a season due to injury) and now, most recently, Correa. MLB predictions for the AL East are the most fun, theyll even vary on a weekly basis. After adding closer Craig Kimbrel, the gap between Los Angeles and its NL West foes is even wider. Trevor Rogers nearly won Rookie of the Year, and Sandy Alcantara and Pablo Lopez each had ERAs south of 3.20. The rotation will get a boost from the return of Mike Clevinger and the trade acquisition of Manaea. Is the NL West a two- or three-team race? This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2022 MLB season. When the MLB playoffs begin, well provide predictions, matchup analysis and provide the full schedule for October baseball. Carlos Rodon is gone, but Michael Kopech is waiting in the wings to take over as the No. Atlanta can erase some of our concerns by acquiring Matt Olson. The front end of the rotation offers some star arms in Nathan Eovaldi, Chris Sale and Tanner Houck, who can match up with many of the best in the AL. Edward Sutelan is a content producer at The Sporting News. O/U wins: 91.5. 1. Are we really counting on Miles Mikolas and Dakota Hudson, then? Projected Standings, Roster Management, Draft Results, Keeper Management; Coming early January 2023! It was a surprise to see theCubs spendsemi-big onSeiya Suzuki and Marcus Stroman and Chicago enters the new season with most of the roster turned over Cincinnati stayed in the hunt into September last season, but now they'vetraded Sonny Gray, Jesse Winker andEugenio Suarez. Related: Get Paramount Plus today and watch live sports for an unbeatable price! It's a good, though not great, mix of position players. It makes them the team to beat in the NL Central, especially if Christian Yelich rebounds and Kolten Wong stays healthy. This is tough. Major League Baseball's arduous 2021-22 offseason featured a 99-day lockout that ultimately resulted in an abbreviated spring training and a delayed Opening . Drew Rasmussen threw 76 innings last year. The Braves, on the other hand, werent a major player in free agency. Even after trading Gray, the rotation looks decent with Luis Castillo and Tyler Mahle leading a young rotation that will feature flame-thrower Hunter Greene and control specialist Nick Lodolo. Wed be even higher on this team because of its exciting rotation, if not for the fact Phillys defense is the worst in baseball. The Angels are playoff contenders and the Rangers aren't. PECOTA, however, sees a sizable gap of roughly five games between them, with the Mets on top. The Rays have won the division two years in a rowbut didn't do much to upgrade,and have a lot riding on Wander Franco (and his new 11-year, $182 million contract)taking a significant step forward Yankees fans may have hated the offseason, but the team didn't get significantly worse over the winter. AL EAST. Now, the Red Sox also have Trevor Story, who should certainly enjoy teeing off the Green Monster. Pair that with the injury concerns we have for multiple starters, its enough to put this team a tier behind the Blue Jays. Chicago White Sox. As for the Rockies and Diamondbacks, there isnt much to say. I'm not a Phillies fan. Way-Too-Early 2022 MLB Predictions. Even after Gausman walked in free agency, San Francisco still returns Logan Webb, who is coming off a fantastic postseason, and bring back Anthony DeSclafani and Alex Wood. Let's dig in on the "best team" part, though. Those player stats are then merged in with their current teams to evaluate how good each team's lineups, rotation and bullpens will be in the 2022 season. The key tothe Giants'success in 2021 was a standout rotation. It was only the Cubs in 2016 and Cardinals in 2015, but the point stands. Close. Adam Wainwright was ridiculous down the stretch last season and it's hard to bet against him, but he's also 40 years old. Follow the American League and National League races here from USA TODAY. If that happens, Tampa Bay is in business. A starting rotation with two Cy Young candidates (Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff), an All-Star No. Someone is going to have to take the crown away fromthe Astrosbefore anyone, even the model, would consider picking against them. by Handedness. Maybe it's a case where I just didn't learn my lesson. 2 starter acquired before being more optimistic with our MLB predictions. New York Mets - 94-68 (101-61 in 2022, 2nd in NLE) It's tough to predict a regression for the Mets, but we truly believe their 2023 campaign will be a bit less successful than their 2022 campaign. Below are the picks and predictions made by The Sporting News' model for how the 2022 MLB season is . 7. At least they have one of the best MLB lineups. Joey Votto has never hit 40 homers in a season. The retirement of Buster Posey will usher in the Joey Bart era behind the plate. MLB games today with odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. We know there are moving parts and differences every single season and the Blue Jays have to replace the career year from Marcus Semien. I like getting late in the signing process and just going offense by adding Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos to Bryce Harper et al in the lineup, though. Jesse Yomtov. Max Scherzer and Justin . Mega Picker; . This year, no one will sleep on the Mariners. The return of spring weather brings hope for every team. If Alex Bregman bounces back to what he's capable of, this should remain one of the highest-scoring offenses. Here are 10 predictions that go against general public sentiment, but I still think have a decent shot at happening. The Cardinals often get far too much from their starters than they should. A complete list of this year's voters: . The rotation looks well-rounded with three experienced starters at the top in Marcus Stroman, Kyle Hendricks and Wade Miley. We felt great about New Yorks rotation trio and even liked some of the depth behind it. MLB. Get Paramount Plus today and watch live sports for an unbeatable price! With the last few days of build up comes all kinds of predictions, picks, best bets and the like. TheBrewers Way? Toronto hasnt won a playoff game since 2016. MLB 2022 win totals: Predicting every team's record for the new season. The . Nick Madrigal and Nico Hoerner are a promising young middle-infield combo, who should be big parts of the team's future. However, concerns at catcher and in the outfield put SF a tier below the Dodgers. However, its outfield will be problematic and the starting rotation is even worse. 2005-2023 Team Rankings, LLC. Theyll be better than the Pittsburgh Pirates, but at least we can say we like the outlook for Pittsburghs future. Jose Ramirez can win an MVP, Franmil Reyes is capable of a .800-plus OPS and Myles Straw is an exciting talent. Losing Carlos Correa hurts, its why were not projecting the Astros to win the AL pennant, but theres a real gap between Houston and its competition in the division. Major League Baseball's arduous 2021-22offseason featured a 99-day lockout that ultimately resulted in an abbreviated spring training and a delayed Opening Day. Minnesota traded Josh Donaldson and others to free up room to sign prized free-agent shortstop Carlos Correa. Design and development by Jay Boice. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors
Now in the new year, they'll have a target on their backs as several teams loaded up this offseason with the goal of avoiding a repeat champion. The odds of winning the pennant tell the story of just how locked down the field sees the 2022 playoff picture. MORE: The Sporting News' 2022 MLB Opening Day Power Rankings Here are predictions for the 2022 MLB season from TSN's panel of baseball experts. MORE:Trading for Matt Chapman a better fit for rising Blue Jays than signing Freddie Freeman. Unfortunately, the starting rotation and lineup arent remotely good enough to even challenge for 72 wins. Fastest MLB pitches in 2022, fastest pitch in college, Best batting average of all time: Top MLB hitters by career average, best BA in 2021. Maybe this time I'm right and things have caught up with them. Major League Baseball's arduous 2021-22 offseason featured a 99-day lockout that . Opening Day is set for Thursday (for 14 teams, at least), and thankfully for baseball fans, we'll still have a full, 162-game season in 2022. Comprehensive Major League Baseball news, scores, standings, fantasy games, rumors, and more Below are the picks and predictions made by The Sporting News' model for how the 2022 MLB season is going to unfold. Even after losing Carlos Rodon, the rotation is still be one of the game's best with Lucas Giolito, Lance Lynn and Dylan Cease at the front. We also like Clevelands pitching. They have the best hitter of this generation in Mike Trout and the most talented player of all time in Shohei Ohtani, yet they continue to finish below .500. ET. But the top two teams in the NL are the same as last year's: the Dodgers and Giants. Bob Melvin is the perfect skipper for the clubhouse, providing both strong in-game management and a leader who can help keep a lot of personalities in sync. Are the Brewers better than the Cardinals, or way behind? AL East This is undoubtedly the toughest division in baseball. The moves bythe Marlinsmight not have been as splashy as the Mets or Phillies, but don't sleep on the additions they made this offseason. The Atlanta Braves surprised everyone by winning the World Series. The influx of multiple 100-win teams per season these last handful of years isn't a coincidence, in my view. The Diamondbacksfinished tied with Baltimore for the worst record in baseball in 2021, but like the Orioles, they are starting to see the future of the franchise. If I believe the Dodgers end the regular season with the most wins, I like my chances for hitting the over here. No one saw the San Francisco Giants being that good last season, they surpassed their wildest expectations. The White Sox and Astros were picked to reach the top two spots in the American League more than any other team, while the top four AL East teams were the most likely in the simulations to also reach the playoffs. The speedy outfield of Tyler O'Neill, Harrison Bader and Dylan Carlson returns as the best defensive unit in baseball, and they're each expected to improve offensively. The offense added Starling Marte and Mark Canha to a lineup that was already strong with Francisco Lindor, Jeff McNeil and Pete Alonso in the infield and Brandon Nimmo in the outfield. MLB playoffs 2023: MLB postseason predictions, World Series and playoffs info, Longest MLB hitting streaks ever: 2022 to baseball history, 5 biggest winners from 2022 MLB offseason, MLB top prospects 2022: Tracking latest stats and potential call-up dates, 3 Chicago White Sox trade targets to replace Lance Lynn, 2022 Boston Red Sox schedule, roster and predictions, MLB MVP race 2023: Evaluating 2023 AL, NL candidates and MVP history, MLB trade rumors Latest MLB rumors entering July, What is the fastest pitch ever? Tyler Stephenson finishes with 20+ home runs, 80+ runs, and 80+ RBIs. Arizona also has to be relieved the DH is now in the league so it can give young slugger Seth Beer a way to consistently fit in the lineup. The Phillies enter the season probably, objectively, a worse team than both the Braves and Mets in the NL East. Now that ZiPS and PECOTA have both released their projected standings for 2023 (ZiPS can be found here and here, and PECOTA here), here's a breakdown of some interesting points on which they agree, and where they differ. Back # WL Div GB # AL WL Pct GB # WL Div GB # The 2022 Major League Baseball season is almost here and Sportsnauts MLB predictions offer projections for the standings, award winners and more. They also made big splashes by signing Rodon, Alex Cobb and Matthew Boyd, who will only make this rotation stronger. Landing Carlos Correa is a monumental upgrade at shortstop, improving this teams fielding and run production. 2022 Year to Date: 2023 Projected Rest of Season: 2023 Projected Full Season: Team G . Signing Seiya Suzuki, one of Japan's biggest sluggers over the past six seasons, is a big addition as he'll likely slot right into the middle of the lineup. Let's analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the UFC 285: Shevchenko vs. Grasso odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.. Milwaukee has made the playoffs four years in a row, a streak that should continue as the Cardinals didn't do much to close the gap. The system also thinks theres still a gulf between the Dodgers and Padres, projecting Los Angeles for 96.1 wins and the Padres for 92.6. filling out their roster with solid role players. Instead, their big additions were Mitch Haniger, Michael Conforto, Sean Manaea, Ross Stripling and Taylor Rogers. 2022-23 English Premier League Arsenal vs. Bournemouth odds, picks: Predictions and best bets for Saturday's match from proven soccer expert . All posts tagged "MLB" Feb. 22, 2023. . But that quickly changed, and the result was a disappointing 77-85 season. The top of the MLB power rankings remains steady and it's likely to stay that way. Derek Jeter left the Miami Marlins for a reason, he doesnt believe this team is all-in on winnings.
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